PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

yupi44

0xf41c5ec2ce0f233a203b4292e9fe2209ad7bf625

Realised P&L
$43.90
Volume
$771.31
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$111.62

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? · Yes0.2000.505$83.43+$50.42
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? · Yes0.1700.169$28.18$0.17
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 5-11? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$9.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-06 10:34Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 5-11?BUY0.3399999816$9.63
01-06 10:33Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?SELL0.69$9.63
01-01 10:49Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?BUY0.2$33.01
01-01 10:49Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?BUY0.1699999959$28.35
01-01 10:47Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?SELL0.998$64.85
01-01 10:44Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?BUY0.6299999907$8.80
12-27 06:21Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?BUY0.92$48.28
12-27 06:19Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? SELL0.92$38.70
12-27 06:18Lighter Airdrop on December 29?SELL0.69$9.87
12-20 17:31Lighter Airdrop on December 29?BUY0.6499999895$9.30
12-20 17:27Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?SELL0.54$9.30
12-13 18:07Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?BUY0.9949999812$8.71
12-13 18:05Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? BUY0.9$27.37
12-04 08:26Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?BUY0.1419999883$9.15
12-04 08:17Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY0.7099999507$12.24