PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

margiana

0xf418140eff56c5c100146c9f006fcfabac66ab79

Realised P&L
$-418.28
Volume
$58.1k
Markets traded
182
Open portfolio
$373.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded182
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Exact Score: Fluminense FC 2 - 0 Coritiba FBC? · Yes0.1200.355$71.00+$47.00
Exact Score: Fluminense FC 3 - 0 Coritiba FBC? · Yes0.0800.260$52.00+$36.00
Fluminense FC vs. Coritiba FBC: Fluminense FC O/U 3.5 · Over0.1500.320$32.00+$17.00
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5) · Coritiba FBC0.6100.155$31.00−$91.00
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: Santos FC O/U 0.5 · Over0.7101.000$30.27+$8.77
Exact Score: Fluminense FC 3 - 1 Coritiba FBC? · Yes0.0690.086$17.10+$3.30
Exact Score: Club Necaxa 0 - 2 CF América? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.89
1st Half Exact Score: Los Angeles Galaxy 0 - 1 Colorado Rapids SC? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$1.88
Exact Score: Club Necaxa 3 - 2 CF América? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$1.00
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 0.5 · Under0.0600.000$0.00−$1.14
El Salvador vs. Martinique: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under0.7500.000$0.00−$7.59
Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5 · Under0.1800.000$0.00−$5.76
Exact Score: Club Necaxa 0 - 3 CF América? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.05
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 3.5 Corners · Over0.6000.000$0.00−$158.00
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5 · Under0.8100.000$0.00−$20.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 00:20Exact Score: Fluminense FC 3 - 1 Coritiba FBC?BUY0.069$13.80
10-09 00:15Exact Score: Fluminense FC 3 - 0 Coritiba FBC?BUY0.08$16.00
10-09 00:14Exact Score: Fluminense FC 2 - 0 Coritiba FBC?BUY0.12$24.00
10-09 00:12Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)BUY0.61$122.00
10-08 22:20Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: Santos FC O/U 0.5BUY0.71$7.21
10-08 22:05Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: Santos FC O/U 0.5BUY0.71$7.20
10-08 21:56Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: Santos FC O/U 0.5BUY0.71$7.10
10-08 03:40FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 2.5BUY0.48$4.80
10-06 23:09Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Canada?BUY0.055$10.80
10-06 23:05Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Canada?BUY0.067$14.06
10-06 22:55Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Canada?BUY0.08$16.77
10-06 22:52Spread: United States (-1.5)BUY0.69$91.77
10-05 23:59Spread: Grenada (-3.5)BUY0.11$27.53
10-05 23:56Grenada vs. Bonaire: O/U 6.5BUY0.062$12.65
10-05 23:56Exact Score: Grenada 3 - 1 Bonaire?BUY0.09$37.72