margiana
0xf418140eff56c5c100146c9f006fcfabac66ab79
- Realised P&L
- $-418.28
- Volume
- $58.1k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $373.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$356.03at 0.750Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5
- +$267.79at 0.677United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5
- +$239.67at 0.607Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5
- +$193.30at 0.701France vs. England: England O/U 3.5 Corners
- +$176.42at 0.456England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 Corners
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 00:20 | Exact Score: Fluminense FC 3 - 1 Coritiba FBC? | BUY | 0.069 | $13.80 |
| 10-09 00:15 | Exact Score: Fluminense FC 3 - 0 Coritiba FBC? | BUY | 0.08 | $16.00 |
| 10-09 00:14 | Exact Score: Fluminense FC 2 - 0 Coritiba FBC? | BUY | 0.12 | $24.00 |
| 10-09 00:12 | Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.61 | $122.00 |
| 10-08 22:20 | Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: Santos FC O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.71 | $7.21 |
| 10-08 22:05 | Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: Santos FC O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.71 | $7.20 |
| 10-08 21:56 | Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: Santos FC O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 10-08 03:40 | FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 10-06 23:09 | Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Canada? | BUY | 0.055 | $10.80 |
| 10-06 23:05 | Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Canada? | BUY | 0.067 | $14.06 |
| 10-06 22:55 | Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Canada? | BUY | 0.08 | $16.77 |
| 10-06 22:52 | Spread: United States (-1.5) | BUY | 0.69 | $91.77 |
| 10-05 23:59 | Spread: Grenada (-3.5) | BUY | 0.11 | $27.53 |
| 10-05 23:56 | Grenada vs. Bonaire: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.062 | $12.65 |
| 10-05 23:56 | Exact Score: Grenada 3 - 1 Bonaire? | BUY | 0.09 | $37.72 |