0xf4179aF858e6dc28D0914c3f9B53F8C1266cB1BE-1779650481431
0xf4179af858e6dc28d0914c3f9b53f8c1266cb1be
- Realised P&L
- $8.9k
- Volume
- $596.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,037
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,037
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.0kat 0.046Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on July 14?
- +$1.9kat 0.767France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
- +$1.5kat 0.053Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 14?
- +$1.2kat 0.171Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19?
- +$957.75at 0.100Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 05:52 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.62 |
| 08-09 05:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.025 | $9.50 |
| 08-08 13:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.059 | $1.11 |
| 08-08 03:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.07 | $350.00 |
| 08-08 03:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.07 | $350.00 |
| 08-08 03:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.07 | $149.28 |
| 08-08 03:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.0699982376 | $418.24 |
| 08-08 03:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.0578065917 | $23.70 |
| 08-08 01:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.0598522167 | $486.00 |
| 08-07 15:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.09 | $288.00 |
| 08-07 15:04 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on August 7? | SELL | 0.0055398872 | $19.51 |
| 08-07 15:03 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on August 7? | SELL | 0.0090154851 | $34.40 |
| 08-07 15:03 | Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on August 7? | SELL | 0.1800530707 | $339.27 |
| 08-07 12:21 | Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on August 7? | BUY | 0.62 | $424.25 |
| 08-07 12:18 | Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on August 7? | BUY | 0.64 | $768.00 |