0xf4179aF858e6dc28D0914c3f9B53F8C1266cB1BE-1779650481431
0xf4179af858e6dc28d0914c3f9b53f8c1266cb1be
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $1.05M
- Markets traded
- 4,122
- Open portfolio
- $42.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,122
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.5kat 0.049Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on July 14?
- +$1.7kat 0.776France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
- +$1.3kat 0.054Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 14?
- +$1.1kat 0.181Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19?
- +$851.58at 0.106Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.09 |
| 10-01 05:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.26 | $80.49 |
| 10-01 01:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $71.06 |
| 10-01 01:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | SELL | 0.64 | $75.84 |
| 10-01 01:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4970464135 | $58.90 |
| 10-01 01:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $57.00 |
| 09-30 17:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1? | SELL | 0.014 | $11.81 |
| 09-30 17:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1? | SELL | 0.015 | $15.00 |
| 09-30 17:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1? | SELL | 0.015 | $15.00 |
| 09-30 17:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1? | SELL | 0.015 | $15.00 |
| 09-30 17:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1? | SELL | 0.016 | $5.41 |
| 09-29 17:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.02 | $53.85 |
| 09-29 17:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.019 | $7.52 |
| 09-29 17:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.019 | $7.60 |
| 09-29 17:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.019 | $8.27 |