PolyBot

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Traders

darthskyd

0xf409f85b0cf5803fd4ba0c8d2482c929333ff6cf

Realised P&L
$-355.32
Volume
$14.3k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$28.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.5300.515$11.08$0.32
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.1200.085$7.08$2.92
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4490.560$5.80+$1.15
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.1100.045$4.09$5.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Up0.1400.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Up0.6100.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23? · Yes0.2940.000$0.00$34.96
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Up0.6900.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up0.2040.000$0.00$39.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 21? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00$5.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET · Up0.4840.000$0.00$165.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Down0.9100.000$0.00$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 19:18Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 29?BUY0.1945525292$20.00
07-27 09:25Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4489999658$4.65
07-22 14:22Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 24?BUY0.2413010955$8.00
07-22 14:21Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?BUY0.2999999925$20.00
07-22 14:19Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?SELL0.55975039$21.53
07-22 13:20Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETBUY0.2599999903$15.00
07-22 13:20Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETBUY0.5299999984$150.00
07-22 13:17Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETBUY0.1899999908$15.00
07-22 13:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETSELL0.68$197.42
07-22 13:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETBUY0.4821949845$140.00
07-22 13:04Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETSELL0.1704155468$131.89
07-22 13:04Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY0.1990655972$150.00
07-22 13:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY0.4899999814$10.00
07-22 12:58Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETSELL0.0111008$5.55
07-22 12:57Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.02$10.00