darthskyd
0xf409f85b0cf5803fd4ba0c8d2482c929333ff6cf
- Realised P&L
- $-349.79
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $33.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.71at 0.130Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
- +$57.43at 0.482Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
- +$30.00at 0.250Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
- +$25.71at 0.280Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 20?
- +$17.98at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 19:18 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.1945525292 | $20.00 |
| 07-27 09:25 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4489999658 | $4.65 |
| 07-22 14:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.2413010955 | $8.00 |
| 07-22 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.2999999925 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22? | SELL | 0.55975039 | $21.53 |
| 07-22 13:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999903 | $15.00 |
| 07-22 13:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999984 | $150.00 |
| 07-22 13:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999908 | $15.00 |
| 07-22 13:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | SELL | 0.68 | $197.42 |
| 07-22 13:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4821949845 | $140.00 |
| 07-22 13:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | SELL | 0.1704155468 | $131.89 |
| 07-22 13:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.1990655972 | $150.00 |
| 07-22 13:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 12:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | SELL | 0.0111008 | $5.55 |
| 07-22 12:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |