PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

darthskyd

0xf409f85b0cf5803fd4ba0c8d2482c929333ff6cf

Realised P&L
$-349.79
Volume
$14.3k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$33.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.1200.125$10.42+$0.42
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.5300.465$10.00$1.40
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.1100.085$7.73$2.27
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4490.535$5.55+$0.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Up0.1400.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Up0.6100.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23? · Yes0.2940.000$0.00$34.96
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Up0.6900.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up0.2040.000$0.00$39.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 21? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00$5.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET · Up0.4840.000$0.00$165.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Down0.9100.000$0.00$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 19:18Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 29?BUY0.1945525292$20.00
07-27 09:25Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4489999658$4.65
07-22 14:22Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 24?BUY0.2413010955$8.00
07-22 14:21Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?BUY0.2999999925$20.00
07-22 14:19Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?SELL0.55975039$21.53
07-22 13:20Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETBUY0.2599999903$15.00
07-22 13:20Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETBUY0.5299999984$150.00
07-22 13:17Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETBUY0.1899999908$15.00
07-22 13:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETSELL0.68$197.42
07-22 13:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETBUY0.4821949845$140.00
07-22 13:04Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETSELL0.1704155468$131.89
07-22 13:04Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY0.1990655972$150.00
07-22 13:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY0.4899999814$10.00
07-22 12:58Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETSELL0.0111008$5.55
07-22 12:57Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.02$10.00