PolyBot

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Traders

orcampaired

0xf404d594cc400f8a7f36b91bc8aa7b266a1d291e

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$86.9k
Markets traded
6,769
Open portfolio
$18.91

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,769
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration79.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? · Yes0.2200.265$5.83+$0.99
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.945$4.72+$0.53
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.945$4.72+$0.68
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31? · Yes0.1700.125$3.63−$1.30
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · No0.6700.000$0.00−$5.36
Israel closes its airspace by July 15? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$10.32
Trump renames AI by September 30? · No0.7100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026? · No0.6100.000$0.00−$3.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 19:34Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?BUY0.67$5.36
10-01 14:37Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?BUY0.22$4.84
10-01 02:29Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026?BUY0.61$3.05
09-29 22:03Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?BUY0.84$4.20
09-29 18:37Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?BUY0.81$4.05
09-28 15:56Will Elon tweet 920-959 times in September 2026?BUY0.79$3.95
09-28 02:45Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3499999825$5.00
09-28 02:45Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3058764182$5.00
09-28 00:56Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.7099999702$5.00
07-07 21:57Israel closes its airspace by July 15?BUY0.035$1.23
07-07 21:56Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?BUY0.19$35.59
06-17 12:13Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?SELL0.33$0.66
06-17 06:34Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?SELL0.31$6.20
06-17 06:33Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?SELL0.13$2.82
06-17 00:23Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?SELL0.11$2.20