PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

opjja

0xf400690d42aaf5fb1c06cb4c6c398c4e9f2a1620

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$57.5k
Markets traded
647
Open portfolio
$90.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded647
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1? · No0.8000.755$75.50−$4.50
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1? · Yes0.1800.080$8.40−$10.50
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12.5 million views on day 1? · Yes0.1400.070$7.00−$7.00
Will Ntombi Nama be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay? · Yes0.2040.002$0.01−$1.01
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) · PARIVISION0.4060.000$0.00−$138.23
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 211.5 · Under0.9800.000$0.00−$10.89
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 212.5 · Under0.9900.000$0.00−$10.89
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5 · Under0.7900.000$0.00−$10.89
Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5 · Over0.1200.000$0.00−$1.20
Mavericks vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5 · Over0.7770.000$0.00−$84.40
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5 · Under0.5100.000$0.00−$10.89
Heat vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5 · Over0.9200.000$0.00−$4.95
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 219.5 · Under0.8800.000$0.00−$10.89
Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5 · Over0.1900.000$0.00−$1.90
Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5 · Over0.4100.000$0.00−$4.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 13:09Will PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?SELL0.32$0.85
09-04 13:09Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?SELL0.19$0.78
09-04 13:09Will Eduardo Braga win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?SELL0.153$0.76
09-04 13:09Will the PCQ win 8-10 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?SELL0.2$1.20
09-04 13:09Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?SELL0.63$5.63
09-04 13:09Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?SELL0.44$4.03
09-04 13:09Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?SELL0.52$8.68
09-04 13:09Will Agbu Kefas win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election?SELL0.531$10.24
09-04 13:09Will Ana Daniela García Salgado win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?SELL0.001$0.02
09-04 13:08Will Rob Burton win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?SELL0.53$10.60
09-04 13:08Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?SELL0.31$6.20
09-04 13:08Will Leanne Caron win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?SELL0.46$9.20
09-04 13:08Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?SELL0.478$9.56
09-04 13:08Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?SELL0.731$14.62
09-04 13:08Will Dorothy McCabe win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?SELL0.081045$1.62