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Traders

0xf3fcd14511f35e8a8b14aec7a6395b5b1f36de14

Realised P&L
$-0.72
Volume
$686.00
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$62.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration80.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8050.895$16.11+$1.62
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.6400.925$12.03+$3.71
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1740.105$5.78$3.82
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9000.935$5.61+$0.21
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7910.866$5.20+$0.45
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · No0.9780.981$4.90+$0.01
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9340.964$4.82+$0.15
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8800.915$4.58+$0.17
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.3470.075$0.90$3.27
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2100.095$0.67$0.81
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2000.085$0.59$0.81
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1010.056$0.56$0.46
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · Yes0.5000.019$0.39$9.61
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0950.017$0.24$1.09
Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$22.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 19:41Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.952$7.62
07-16 17:06Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.88$4.40
07-04 17:01Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.9$5.40
06-21 09:45Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.16$3.84
06-18 05:37Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.2$1.40
06-17 13:01Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.934$4.67
06-15 11:25Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.33$1.65
06-08 09:17Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.855$6.84
06-06 08:25China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.972$4.86
06-04 04:10Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.068$1.36
06-02 04:42Will Iran legalize gay marriage?BUY0.978$4.89
05-31 00:04Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.82$7.38
05-28 05:16Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.64$8.32
05-28 05:16Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.36$2.52
05-28 05:15Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.095$1.33
Trader 0xf3fc…de14 · PolyBot Pro