0xf3fcd14511f35e8a8b14aec7a6395b5b1f36de14
- Realised P&L
- $-0.72
- Volume
- $686.00
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $62.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.26at 0.500Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
- +$1.72at 0.790Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$1.45at 0.220Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
- +$1.33at 0.447Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$0.59at 0.050Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 19:41 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.952 | $7.62 |
| 07-16 17:06 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 07-04 17:01 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.40 |
| 06-21 09:45 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.84 |
| 06-18 05:37 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.40 |
| 06-17 13:01 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.934 | $4.67 |
| 06-15 11:25 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 06-08 09:17 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BUY | 0.855 | $6.84 |
| 06-06 08:25 | China coup attempt before 2027? | BUY | 0.972 | $4.86 |
| 06-04 04:10 | Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | BUY | 0.068 | $1.36 |
| 06-02 04:42 | Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | BUY | 0.978 | $4.89 |
| 05-31 00:04 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $7.38 |
| 05-28 05:16 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $8.32 |
| 05-28 05:16 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.52 |
| 05-28 05:15 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.095 | $1.33 |