agnesk
0xf3fb294b24854f13f52ee487b405c5a597357a18
- Realised P&L
- $9.14
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $11.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.65at 0.170Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$3.66at 0.640Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$-25.00at 0.068Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 22:49 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0719999919 | $7.76 |
| 05-13 22:43 | Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0611403684 | $40.00 |
| 05-13 22:43 | Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0185914963 | $40.00 |
| 05-13 22:12 | Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026? | BUY | 0.1698112951 | $5.00 |
| 04-10 22:21 | US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 04-10 22:21 | US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 04-10 22:20 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.0840000007 | $10.00 |
| 03-08 18:10 | Another Canada election called by June 30? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 03-07 23:19 | Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | BUY | 0.0519999952 | $10.00 |
| 03-07 19:42 | Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1529636711 | $10.00 |
| 03-06 18:16 | Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | BUY | 0.0849999949 | $15.00 |
| 03-05 18:44 | Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 03-05 18:40 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 03-05 18:39 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1857214214 | $10.00 |
| 03-05 18:38 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0349999967 | $10.00 |