PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jd9jdaij

0xf3fb23c98cb720442dc0f019a8cadc5b132eb340

Realised P&L
$-4.6k
Volume
$518.9k
Markets traded
195
Open portfolio
$109.62

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded195
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3000.075$61.36−$184.09
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass? · Yes0.1700.550$24.34+$16.82
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.3490.070$11.63−$46.38
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0980.025$10.18−$29.72
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2500.035$2.10−$12.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00−$2.28
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? · Yes0.7150.000$0.00−$146.50
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? · No0.2000.000$0.00−$9.13
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$6.14
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30? · Yes0.1520.000$0.00−$78.59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$28.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31? · Yes0.1740.000$0.00−$53.76
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00−$4.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-18 20:00Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?BUY0.2$9.13
06-18 19:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.1461895805$1.3k
06-16 19:05 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?SELL0.39$974.98
06-16 04:56Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.2$500.00
06-16 01:19US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.02588388$258.84
06-16 01:19US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.023$88.44
06-15 17:21Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY0.2819323989$392.03
06-15 17:18Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY0.27$73.96
06-15 16:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.25$1.6k
06-14 21:56US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.737969721$3.7k
06-14 21:35US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.632$1.1k
06-14 21:27US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.4833774548$1.1k
06-14 16:02US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.1258192$100.66
06-14 06:46US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.2316135355$529.54
06-14 01:07US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.245490462$220.45