jd9jdaij
0xf3fb23c98cb720442dc0f019a8cadc5b132eb340
- Realised P&L
- $-4.6k
- Volume
- $518.9k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $109.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.227US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$932.29at 0.089US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$651.13at 0.810Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?
- +$466.83at 0.638Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
- +$406.33at 0.090Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 20:00 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $9.13 |
| 06-18 19:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.1461895805 | $1.3k |
| 06-16 19:05 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.39 | $974.98 |
| 06-16 04:56 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.2 | $500.00 |
| 06-16 01:19 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.02588388 | $258.84 |
| 06-16 01:19 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.023 | $88.44 |
| 06-15 17:21 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.2819323989 | $392.03 |
| 06-15 17:18 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.27 | $73.96 |
| 06-15 16:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.6k |
| 06-14 21:56 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.737969721 | $3.7k |
| 06-14 21:35 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.632 | $1.1k |
| 06-14 21:27 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.4833774548 | $1.1k |
| 06-14 16:02 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1258192 | $100.66 |
| 06-14 06:46 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2316135355 | $529.54 |
| 06-14 01:07 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.245490462 | $220.45 |