LiMoon
0xf3fa9ee9aa64874e186ef723ed3dadb9fd756a9e
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $1.07M
- Markets traded
- 835
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded835
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? · No | 0.995 | 0.992 | $1.7k | −$5.94 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 14-20? · No | 0.987 | 0.984 | $983.50 | −$3.50 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 14-20? · No | 0.986 | 0.988 | $983.31 | +$1.99 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20? · No | 0.986 | 0.989 | $494.25 | +$1.25 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 17? · No | 0.996 | 0.992 | $482.86 | −$2.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$368.93at 0.257Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?
- +$188.63at 0.924Will Solana reach $90 in July?
- +$153.25at 0.823Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
- +$144.03at 0.960Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 4?
- +$121.64at 0.892Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.7k |
| 09-17 01:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 17? | BUY | 0.996 | $485.05 |
| 09-17 01:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.986 | $981.32 |
| 09-17 01:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.986 | $493.00 |
| 09-17 01:01 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.987 | $987.00 |
| 09-13 13:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.7k |
| 09-13 13:45 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 09-12 03:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 13? | BUY | 0.99 | $170.28 |
| 09-12 03:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.993 | $1.2k |
| 09-12 03:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.996 | $508.68 |
| 09-12 03:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.2k |
| 09-12 03:14 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.996 | $320.71 |
| 09-12 03:14 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.2k |
| 09-10 14:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.997 | $614.07 |
| 09-10 14:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.0k |