PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ElPopo

0xf3ec72e57eff7d65a051f4e9776a5cb1f54364c3

Realised P&L
$-101.93
Volume
$30.7k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$30.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · Yes0.1180.075$30.55−$17.07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 20? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$20.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.1000.000$0.00−$30.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? · Yes0.1880.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1290.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · No0.0280.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? · Yes0.1540.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$10.00
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9? · No0.1570.000$0.00−$12.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$20.00
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 4PM ET · Down0.4630.000$0.00−$12.62
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · No0.0340.000$0.00−$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 16:07US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?BUY0.1573770492$12.00
09-22 16:04US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.0339999999$8.00
09-22 16:04US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.1$30.00
09-13 14:06Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?BUY0.1176953995$47.62
03-09 13:03Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.129250338$10.00
03-09 12:27Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.028$10.00
03-09 12:24Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?BUY0.2999999925$20.00
03-07 12:25Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
03-06 15:11Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?SELL0.64$40.40
03-06 15:10Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?SELL0.37$26.20
03-06 15:10Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?SELL0.22$11.58
03-04 18:33Will France strike Iran by March 31?SELL0.1542406938$7.91
03-04 18:32Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL0.79$52.54
03-01 20:19Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.3$19.95
03-01 20:14 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?BUY0.187999986$10.00