ElPopo
0xf3ec72e57eff7d65a051f4e9776a5cb1f54364c3
- Realised P&L
- $-101.93
- Volume
- $30.7k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $30.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.67at 0.300Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?
- +$32.59at 0.300Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$10.40at 0.475Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$6.20at 0.282Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$1.58at 0.190Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 16:07 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9? | BUY | 0.1573770492 | $12.00 |
| 09-22 16:04 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.0339999999 | $8.00 |
| 09-22 16:04 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $30.00 |
| 09-13 14:06 | Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | BUY | 0.1176953995 | $47.62 |
| 03-09 13:03 | Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.129250338 | $10.00 |
| 03-09 12:27 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.028 | $10.00 |
| 03-09 12:24 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | BUY | 0.2999999925 | $20.00 |
| 03-07 12:25 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 15:11 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | SELL | 0.64 | $40.40 |
| 03-06 15:10 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | SELL | 0.37 | $26.20 |
| 03-06 15:10 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | SELL | 0.22 | $11.58 |
| 03-04 18:33 | Will France strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.1542406938 | $7.91 |
| 03-04 18:32 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $52.54 |
| 03-01 20:19 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $19.95 |
| 03-01 20:14 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | BUY | 0.187999986 | $10.00 |