PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf3E86aBcb11122139a5B87e1758de3d3ea9B0E5c-1769189777130

0xf3e86abcb11122139a5b87e1758de3d3ea9b0e5c

Realised P&L
$-160.59
Volume
$22.5k
Markets traded
813
Open portfolio
$50.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded813
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) · Wang Cong0.3600.355$50.41−$0.71
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET · Down0.9600.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET · Up0.9740.000$0.00−$18.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6420.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET · Down0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET · Up0.9160.000$0.00−$5.00
UFC Fight Night: Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) · Yan Xiaonan0.5800.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Up0.8300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes0.6520.000$0.00−$20.00
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Umar Nurmagomedov0.8100.000$0.00−$70.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 17:47UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.36$51.12
08-29 09:47UFC Fight Night: Namsrai Batbayar vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.9099999995$20.00
08-28 22:14Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.98$1.00
08-28 22:13Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.99$1.00
08-28 22:13Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.99$1.00
08-28 22:13Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.97$1.00
08-28 22:13Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.96$1.00
08-28 22:13Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.9399999624$1.00
08-28 22:13Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.92$1.00
08-28 22:13Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.9299999907$1.00
08-28 22:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.959999616$1.00
08-28 22:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.9399999624$1.00
08-28 22:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.9399999624$1.00
08-28 22:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.9299997117$1.00
08-28 22:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.96$1.00