bukrprot
0xf3e6e9ff7e17a751552b30332f8bb8ff68e49139
- Realised P&L
- $42.78
- Volume
- $107.3k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $163.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.475 | $110.06 | +$91.83 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.535 | $52.70 | +$47.77 |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.002 | $0.53 | −$2.14 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes | 0.172 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.25 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.70 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? · Yes | 0.273 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.56 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.92at 0.123Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$98.19at 0.007Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$89.67at 0.542Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$89.58at 0.130Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$76.89at 0.250Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 20:55 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.37 | $45.00 |
| 07-31 12:32 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.251 | $29.65 |
| 07-30 13:49 | Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.012 | $2.11 |
| 07-30 13:49 | Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.0031509888 | $0.55 |
| 07-30 01:46 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.008 | $5.79 |
| 07-30 00:19 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.0069822678 | $15.59 |
| 07-22 12:31 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | BUY | 0.19 | $28.50 |
| 07-20 10:49 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.33 | $35.92 |
| 07-17 17:07 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.386 | $1.93 |
| 07-15 15:00 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $16.65 |
| 07-13 10:26 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.069390625 | $4.44 |
| 07-13 10:26 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $28.21 |
| 07-10 23:21 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $47.25 |
| 07-10 19:32 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.205 | $20.50 |
| 07-10 18:45 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.1725 | $17.25 |