0xf3d4ffef3a8275fec63d43d66d39ab3256ffbe8b
0xf3d4ffef3a8275fec63d43d66d39ab3256ffbe8b
- Realised P&L
- $59.33
- Volume
- $151.13
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $9.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar39.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.445 | $9.63 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.48at 0.417Spread: Mexico (-1.5)
- +$10.55at 0.706Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
- +$5.30at 0.720Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 12:28 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7099999606 | $3.60 |
| 10-08 12:23 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7099999971 | $4.93 |
| 10-08 11:16 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7099999971 | $4.93 |
| 10-05 10:49 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.4499999884 | $9.74 |
| 06-09 08:19 | Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4099999904 | $19.57 |
| 06-09 08:16 | Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | BUY | 0.40999999 | $11.02 |
| 06-09 08:14 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.6999999972 | $25.14 |