markrobertson
0xf3d352b0bc86325b1482fc8ed91988a197b66bee
- Realised P&L
- $-34.39
- Volume
- $22.8k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $13.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Saitama Seibu Lions · Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | 0.810 | 1.000 | $13.15 | +$2.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.93at 0.470Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-26?
- +$5.80at 0.660Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 17?
- +$3.64at 0.690Solana above $190 on December 27?
- +$2.56at 0.620Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?
- +$2.51at 0.999Ethereum all time high by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:55 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.64 |
| 01-30 16:32 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.63 |
| 01-30 15:46 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9989999699 | $10.67 |
| 01-30 15:14 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.45 |
| 01-30 12:46 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $67.19 |
| 12-30 10:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999663 | $17.32 |
| 12-30 00:00 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999644 | $16.40 |
| 12-29 23:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999814 | $36.29 |
| 12-29 18:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $41.71 |
| 10-30 19:22 | Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.71 |
| 10-30 18:15 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.85 |
| 09-29 17:13 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $11.47 |
| 09-29 17:10 | Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.90 |
| 09-29 16:58 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $15.78 |
| 09-29 02:45 | Will XRP reach $4.00 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.35 |