PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf3d1c3393a8407e4ea0c777fad6df2880d8886f6

Realised P&L
$75.70
Volume
$25.9k
Markets traded
204
Open portfolio
$220.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded204
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.5100.505$220.98$2.19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Down0.6400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$6.00
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$1.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Up0.2300.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00$10.00
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2380.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$5.00
Will Académico de Viseu FC vs. Vitória SC end in a draw? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00$22.39
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET · Down0.4200.000$0.00$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down on June 28? · Up0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00$1.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 21:00Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.5099999992$223.17
09-16 20:54Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-16?SELL0.994$231.76
09-16 20:40Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.6812280215$158.84
09-16 20:38Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?SELL0.92$163.93
09-16 20:28Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.8799999996$156.80
09-16 20:25Will Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?SELL0.11$19.73
09-16 20:24Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?SELL0.33$145.59
09-16 20:21Will Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?BUY0.5576073057$100.00
09-16 19:59Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.6799999994$300.00
09-16 19:45Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?SELL0.52$101.96
09-16 19:26Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.5099999984$100.00
09-16 18:55Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-16?SELL0.98$413.19
09-16 18:19Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.8699999993$366.81
09-16 18:15Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?SELL0.97$326.60
09-16 03:40Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.7099999999$239.06