PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

connie95

0xf3c6a1df0f616573ba388a527362e85ad16dc711

Realised P&L
$164.68
Volume
$12.6k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$29.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 26? · Yes0.8100.982$29.04+$5.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 20:30Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?BUY0.8199999989$29.88
01-31 13:32Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.9830898805$48.50
01-30 15:46Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.9952499066$89.88
01-30 15:02Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January?BUY0.999$45.26
01-30 13:06Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.997$101.23
12-30 11:36Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?BUY0.999$5.43
12-30 09:01Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?BUY0.999$23.21
12-30 00:01Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?BUY0.9899999664$19.17
12-29 22:04Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?BUY0.998$29.87
10-30 20:04Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?BUY0.998$22.23
10-30 18:54Will Solana dip to $120 in October?BUY0.9989999533$19.09
10-30 17:38Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?BUY0.999$18.01
09-29 10:09Will Google have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.987$15.87
09-29 09:25Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in September?BUY0.9979999981$16.46
09-29 04:56Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?BUY0.998999955$19.12