PolyBot

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Traders

0xf3b073a6f13ca6fd435fe0a4976428a615169ee6

0xf3b073a6f13ca6fd435fe0a4976428a615169ee6

Realised P&L
$-31.30
Volume
$8.8k
Markets traded
128
Open portfolio
$13.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded128
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9070.968$4.26+$0.26
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8900.954$3.21+$0.21
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · No0.9050.982$2.17+$0.17
Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election? · Yes0.2400.360$1.50+$0.50
Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes0.5200.670$1.29+$0.29
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0510.044$0.86−$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 05:13Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-12 02:10Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?SELL0.28$1.86
09-01 23:59Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?BUY0.52$1.00
09-01 23:43Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?SELL0.1$1.11
09-01 22:42Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
09-01 22:18Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?BUY0.089999919$1.00
08-01 06:59Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
07-06 06:15US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?SELL0.035$0.70
07-01 07:13US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
07-01 07:13US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
06-02 15:30Trump on $250 bill this year?SELL0.08$0.89
06-02 13:25Trump on $250 bill this year?BUY0.089999919$1.00
06-02 12:12Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.931$1.01
06-01 07:47Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?BUY0.84$1.00
05-22 19:35Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$1.00