cecedeee
0xf3ac121443c54462b1b409aee66cf320b6c0dbba
- Realised P&L
- $-145.74
- Volume
- $13.3k
- Markets traded
- 589
- Open portfolio
- $200.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded589
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.684 | 0.700 | $188.87 | +$4.18 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.480 | $11.44 | −$2.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.19at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 19?
- +$55.07at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 12?
- +$48.25at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
- +$46.25at 0.537Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
- +$43.72at 0.526Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 03:10 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.59 | $14.07 |
| 06-20 06:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 06-20 06:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 06-20 06:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 06-20 06:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 06-20 06:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 06-20 06:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 06-20 05:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 06-20 05:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 06-20 05:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 06-20 05:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 06-20 05:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 06-20 05:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 06-20 05:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 06-20 05:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |