PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

RodrigoTrump

0xf3a978689c87724f67cbe12cb8f2b4169832f104

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$267.4k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$448.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Portugal win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? · Yes0.1820.131$448.61−$174.34
Will Sporting CP beat RB Leipzig? · Yes0.4590.000$0.00−$94.00
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00−$1.2k
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days? · No0.3400.000$0.00−$150.00
Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$135.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 01:48Will Portugal win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?BUY0.1819093991$622.95
06-28 15:35Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.003$94.91
06-11 01:05Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.01$316.36
06-05 23:24Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$135.99
06-05 23:23Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0219999999$200.00
06-05 23:17Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0969999997$300.00
06-04 00:22Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.096$534.27
01-30 17:57Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0757430753$395.61
01-19 01:53Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?SELL0.0496477669$114.24
01-18 20:01Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?SELL0.0712747423$107.02
01-18 18:48Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.0253544595$100.00
01-16 23:49Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.2479686324$274.00
01-13 22:22Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.0543957614$125.17
01-13 22:21Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.3782992874$150.00
01-22 16:05Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?SELL0.3527564367$239.49