walnascar
0xf3a31a7ab52f576bd1c25cfb3c023a0eef159084
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $575.8k
- Markets traded
- 339
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded339
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 22? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $2.5k | +$3.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.03at 0.981Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 1?
- +$18.96at 0.992Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 31?
- +$18.08at 0.993Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on July 22?
- +$17.29at 0.993Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 29?
- +$14.03at 0.994Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on July 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 21:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.5k |
| 09-21 20:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.5k |
| 09-20 16:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.9979755854 | $409.17 |
| 09-20 16:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $214.78 |
| 09-20 16:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 09-20 16:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $299.40 |
| 09-20 16:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $299.40 |
| 09-20 16:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.9967710843 | $827.32 |
| 09-20 16:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $399.20 |
| 09-20 16:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $399.20 |
| 09-20 09:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.5k |
| 09-19 20:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.1k |
| 09-19 09:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.5k |
| 09-18 20:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9979268293 | $409.15 |
| 09-18 20:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.995 | $497.50 |