walnascar
0xf3a31a7ab52f576bd1c25cfb3c023a0eef159084
- Realised P&L
- $769.82
- Volume
- $383.6k
- Markets traded
- 230
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded230
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on August 5? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $2.5k | −$3.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.49at 0.980Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 1?
- +$20.38at 0.992Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 31?
- +$19.43at 0.992Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on July 22?
- +$18.58at 0.993Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 29?
- +$15.07at 0.994Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on July 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 20:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.5k |
| 08-05 06:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.5k |
| 08-04 20:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.5k |
| 08-04 06:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.5k |
| 08-03 20:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $673.65 |
| 08-03 20:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 3? | BUY | 0.998899654 | $1.9k |
| 08-02 09:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.5k |
| 08-02 09:27 | Bitcoin above 64,000 on August 2, 6AM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $73.93 |
| 08-02 09:27 | Bitcoin above 62,000 on August 2, 6AM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $109.89 |
| 08-01 21:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.979804 | $2.4k |
| 07-31 20:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.7k |
| 07-31 20:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $81.92 |
| 07-31 20:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.9976957525 | $587.93 |
| 07-31 06:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.991848228 | $2.5k |
| 07-30 20:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.5k |