0xf3961cac0278c18944716099759e93e9397ae0bf
0xf3961cac0278c18944716099759e93e9397ae0bf
- Realised P&L
- $-9.11
- Volume
- $131.35
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $1.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.820 | 0.925 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$1.66at 0.382Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.36at 0.430Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.36at 0.430Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 00:11 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:24 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 13:49 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 05:11 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:04 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 00:50 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 09:13 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 23:02 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:53 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 06:52 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:48 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 01:38 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 17:38 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:49 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 11:46 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |