PolyBot

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Traders

kgvdotcom

0xf38e6583dfa37026ee25cf0a567b8cef6307a38a

Realised P&L
$-142.4k
Volume
$13.73M
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$139.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9500.945$139.0k−$735.20
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? · No0.9650.000$0.00−$23.90
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? · No0.0170.000$0.00−$262.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:42Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.95$38.8k
10-31 23:33Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.95$100.8k
08-18 12:23Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?BUY0.965$23.90
08-12 07:35Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.9940313772$10.9k
08-12 07:35Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.9945086612$40.7k
08-12 06:23Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.996$517.92
08-12 06:22Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.9948996$5.0k
08-12 05:13Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.9167542596$4.9k
08-12 05:12Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.9008275861$5.0k
08-12 05:11Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.9151627315$3.5k
08-12 04:00Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.8$759.99
08-12 04:00Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.7986861912$1.9k
08-12 03:59Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.8052234898$4.2k
08-12 03:59Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.7956423229$5.6k
08-12 03:58Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.7883938159$5.8k