notle
0xf389ff0b7714f7da513682a607b9c91b1028c39e
- Realised P&L
- $34.46
- Volume
- $852.93
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $39.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August? · Yes | 0.295 | 0.220 | $29.75 | −$10.19 |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.610 | $10.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April? · Yes | 0.418 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will PPI YoY be 6.3% in June? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will PPI YoY be 6.4% in June? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.82at 0.496Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?
- +$22.75at 0.642Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?
- +$12.45at 0.452Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in June?
- +$4.84at 0.514Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
- +$2.87at 0.779Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 12:50 | Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August? | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 11:47 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August? | BUY | 0.300935722 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 11:45 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August? | BUY | 0.29 | $19.95 |
| 09-02 09:51 | Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August? | BUY | 0.6299999991 | $40.00 |
| 08-17 07:13 | Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 09:08 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July? | BUY | 0.0457256466 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 10:01 | Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 09:53 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? | BUY | 0.5109999913 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 09:52 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 09:51 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 07:02 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June? | BUY | 0.7699999638 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 07:01 | Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in June? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 05:12 | Will PPI YoY be 6.3% in June? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 05:12 | Will PPI YoY be 6.4% in June? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 09:10 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |