tonny19
0xf38854ffb8fc3359286521a49b34d09b8ec17f67
- Realised P&L
- $6.0k
- Volume
- $110.0k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.595 | $1.2k | +$190.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.320 | $480.47 | −$225.22 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.225 | $450.00 | −$450.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.500Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?
- +$1.9kat 0.418Ethereum flipped in 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.518Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.440Will Bitcoin reach $90k in April?
- +$1.2kat 0.459Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 14:12 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.5k |
| 03-19 14:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999999 | $768.11 |
| 03-12 14:59 | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 03-12 14:49 | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | SELL | 0.45 | $72.00 |
| 02-15 13:21 | Ethereum flipped in 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999996 | $500.00 |
| 02-10 16:56 | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | BUY | 0.4542347609 | $760.00 |
| 02-02 09:01 | Ethereum flipped in 2026? | BUY | 0.3557663799 | $890.00 |
| 01-24 16:56 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January? | SELL | 0.0588099294 | $43.64 |
| 01-21 17:29 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January? | BUY | 0.2307442646 | $90.00 |
| 01-07 18:54 | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first? | BUY | 0.4590331159 | $1.0k |
| 12-18 08:23 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | SELL | 0.35 | $101.50 |
| 12-16 07:53 | Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.2460629921 | $25.00 |
| 12-14 17:29 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.1443101398 | $100.00 |
| 12-12 16:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.7559697552 | $1.5k |
| 12-11 18:47 | Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision? | BUY | 0.1601670711 | $24.00 |