PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

777daemon

0xf37f99b8396e10702039dcc74a3c2a471e57c767

Realised P&L
$-16.35
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
134
Open portfolio
$29.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded134
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30? · Yes0.7200.815$16.29+$1.90
Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31? · Yes0.1700.155$6.20$0.60
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30? · No0.2200.185$3.70$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 24? · Yes0.1500.100$2.00$1.00
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 55.0 million views on day 4? · Yes0.0300.050$1.00+$0.40
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on September 22? · Yes0.0400.015$0.30$0.50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$10.00
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs · Nongshim Esports Academy0.7300.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26? · No0.5200.000$0.00$7.50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2580.000$0.00$1.50
SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00$2.48
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner · Sinners0.3980.000$0.00$1.00
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs K27 (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group A · K270.3700.000$0.00$1.00
LoL: Maryville University vs NRG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs · NRG Esports0.7800.000$0.00$3.77
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 27? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 06:53Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 24?BUY0.15$3.00
09-15 10:57Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageSELL0.1$0.22
09-15 08:34Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.88$6.91
09-15 08:06LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.64$1.00
09-15 07:48Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageBUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-14 19:39LoL: BIG vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsSELL0.1$0.16
09-14 16:36Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Young27 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group CBUY0.6199998512$1.00
09-14 12:42Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Color (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 PlayoffsBUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-14 10:30Counter-Strike: TEAM ASCEND vs ENCE Prospects - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-14 09:48LoL: BIG vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.6199998512$1.00
09-14 08:06Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Group ABUY0.6299998362$1.00
09-14 05:48Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageBUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-14 03:54Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group BBUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-14 03:00LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League PlayoffsBUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-13 17:10Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs HOTU - Map 3 WinnerBUY0.4899998383$1.00