bcngirl
0xf376d4a77fa8b2439f3cf4c119eadbb777dde767
- Realised P&L
- $-535.29
- Volume
- $228.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,102
- Open portfolio
- $255.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,102
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.500 | 1.000 | $100.95 | +$50.45 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.687 | 0.465 | $40.69 | −$19.41 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.867 | 0.800 | $26.56 | −$2.22 |
| Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.847 | 0.680 | $20.71 | −$5.09 |
| Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.932 | 0.741 | $16.24 | −$4.19 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.720 | $14.40 | −$2.60 |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by December 31? · Yes | 0.264 | 0.205 | $12.97 | −$3.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on September 17? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C or higher on September 17? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $9.99 | +$0.00 |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.055 | $2.75 | −$1.75 |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$50.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.98at 0.869Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on July 26?
- +$23.68at 0.978Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or below on July 25?
- +$8.51at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on July 12?
- +$7.84at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on October 31?
- +$5.85at 0.940Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-16 18:45 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C or higher on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-15 17:47 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or higher on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.78 |
| 09-14 16:43 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-11 20:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.89 |
| 09-10 17:51 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 09-10 17:43 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-09 19:30 | Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? | SELL | 0.2015355408 | $72.19 |
| 09-09 17:16 | Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? | SELL | 0.24 | $10.04 |
| 09-09 17:10 | Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 22:15 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 09-08 22:12 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-08 21:57 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $43.19 |
| 09-08 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-08 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $571.37 |