0xF373E8F57926aC71FD3d66D52Ac1bDdd187838ed-1777219728791
0xf373e8f57926ac71fd3d66d52ac1bddd187838ed
- Realised P&L
- $-86.94
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $3.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 3? · No | 0.037 | 0.010 | $2.70 | −$7.30 |
| Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET · Down | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Down | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the song of the summer? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$85.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.03at 0.823Will Charli XCX announce a new album by July 31?
- +$13.16at 0.139Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
- +$2.90at 0.418Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
- +$2.55at 0.798Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?
- +$2.36at 0.304Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 16:25 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 3? | BUY | 0.0369999999 | $10.00 |
| 08-30 08:42 | Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the song of the summer? | BUY | 0.0548108726 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 04:14 | Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the song of the summer? | BUY | 0.090150207 | $9.70 |
| 08-28 03:48 | Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the song of the summer? | BUY | 0.0439999958 | $9.96 |
| 08-26 08:01 | Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the song of the summer? | BUY | 0.0479999978 | $20.00 |
| 08-25 04:07 | Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the song of the summer? | BUY | 0.048 | $6.00 |
| 08-25 03:39 | Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the song of the summer? | BUY | 0.0479999955 | $10.00 |
| 08-25 03:21 | Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the song of the summer? | BUY | 0.047714192 | $10.00 |
| 08-22 18:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 17:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 17:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.7899995339 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 17:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8599995356 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 15:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 15:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 15:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |