PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FW66

0xf3683e3d0c140d293be2a08795fbef22f7e3873a

Realised P&L
$-4.7k
Volume
$200.4k
Markets traded
106
Open portfolio
$142.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded106
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand? · Yes0.0940.053$142.75−$107.85
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2230.000$0.00−$670.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00−$1.4k
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.3430.000$0.00−$2.0k
Will Bitcoin dip to $118,000 October 6-12? · No0.7900.000$0.00−$19.19
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00−$191.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $116,000 October 6-12? · No0.9300.000$0.00−$279.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.2650.000$0.00−$159.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on September 25? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00−$23.86
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$360.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET · Up0.7300.000$0.00−$221.33
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$360.00
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? · No0.2960.000$0.00−$715.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 09:23Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?BUY0.0939051779$213.91
10-13 09:062026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELL0.09$79.33
06-14 22:11US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.22$2.20
06-14 21:48Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.36$17.33
06-14 21:46US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?SELL0.15$253.76
06-11 21:46US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.61$45.11
06-07 18:30US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.78$960.76
06-07 18:30US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.85$960.67
06-01 03:33US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.74$837.01
06-01 00:01US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY0.91$818.98
06-01 00:00US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.994$818.91
05-29 04:18US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.9$741.47
05-29 04:08US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.58$205.77
02-19 18:24Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 19?BUY0.92$6.90
02-16 23:31Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.055$34.80