FW66
0xf3683e3d0c140d293be2a08795fbef22f7e3873a
- Realised P&L
- $-4.7k
- Volume
- $200.4k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $142.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.230Trump wins every swing state?
- +$832.35at 0.600Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
- +$723.00at 0.444Trump Sun Belt swing state sweep?
- +$497.50at 0.441Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?
- +$486.40at 0.392Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 09:23 | Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand? | BUY | 0.0939051779 | $213.91 |
| 10-13 09:06 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.09 | $79.33 |
| 06-14 22:11 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 06-14 21:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.36 | $17.33 |
| 06-14 21:46 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL | 0.15 | $253.76 |
| 06-11 21:46 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.61 | $45.11 |
| 06-07 18:30 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $960.76 |
| 06-07 18:30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $960.67 |
| 06-01 03:33 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $837.01 |
| 06-01 00:01 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $818.98 |
| 06-01 00:00 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $818.91 |
| 05-29 04:18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $741.47 |
| 05-29 04:08 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.58 | $205.77 |
| 02-19 18:24 | Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 19? | BUY | 0.92 | $6.90 |
| 02-16 23:31 | Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.055 | $34.80 |