0xf35ccffdfcbc59658d2792aff929893934fef6e9
0xf35ccffdfcbc59658d2792aff929893934fef6e9
- Realised P&L
- $984.60
- Volume
- $104.3k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $0.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain General Election: PSOE gains seats? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.240 | $0.72 | −$0.33 |
| Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? · Opp. | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$636.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.219Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$106.77at 0.194Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
- +$74.64at 0.633Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
- +$-0.01at 0.201Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
- +$-34.07at 0.024Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 15:00 | Spain General Election: PSOE gains seats? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.05 |
| 10-28 12:53 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | SELL | 0.0026269305 | $1.10 |
| 10-28 02:13 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.0709999999 | $29.47 |
| 10-28 02:12 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.0719280815 | $75.00 |
| 10-28 02:11 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.0717044028 | $105.52 |
| 10-28 01:26 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.12 |
| 10-28 01:26 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.0699999981 | $1.50 |
| 10-28 01:24 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.0594117836 | $3.02 |
| 10-28 00:49 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.21 |
| 10-28 00:48 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.0897433703 | $34.97 |
| 10-28 00:40 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.0486162645 | $4.96 |
| 10-28 00:39 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.0589871919 | $407.67 |
| 10-28 00:34 | Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 00:34 | Will PSOE win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.1496340386 | $89.75 |
| 10-28 00:34 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | SELL | 0.1075575685 | $322.68 |