hhhdh
0xf3587604698001baf73a6c8d2fe4f88e3fcfd57d
- Realised P&L
- $-114.69
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $14.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.365 | $14.30 | +$2.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.98at 0.226Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
- +$72.39at 0.575Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
- +$21.85at 0.880US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$15.52at 0.940Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
- +$10.75at 0.500US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 07:09 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 07-17 03:58 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.975 | $19.50 |
| 06-28 18:37 | Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? | BUY | 0.229 | $0.34 |
| 06-28 18:36 | Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? | BUY | 0.228 | $1.14 |
| 06-12 14:21 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | SELL | 0.939 | $179.05 |
| 05-30 06:14 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $152.23 |
| 05-30 05:54 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9660137525 | $73.76 |
| 05-30 05:54 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $75.82 |
| 05-28 16:18 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | BUY | 0.8655388669 | $65.69 |
| 05-28 16:17 | Epstein suicide note released by May 31? | SELL | 0.9864893985 | $68.39 |
| 05-24 06:20 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8331618598 | $63.62 |
| 05-24 06:19 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.985 | $29.15 |
| 05-24 06:19 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL | 0.996 | $34.46 |
| 05-15 02:06 | Epstein suicide note released by May 31? | BUY | 0.9299999994 | $64.48 |
| 05-08 06:59 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.942 | $60.94 |