Phell
0xf3479bdea9f3013b96947a6d571c4e85ceaee419
- Realised P&L
- $-1.02
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $13.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.966 | $13.12 | +$0.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.90at 0.921Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?
- +$0.50at 0.960Will Russia target Kyiv on October 7, 2026?
- +$0.48at 0.962Will Russia target Kyiv on October 8, 2026?
- +$0.41at 0.935Will Russia target Kyiv on October 6, 2026?
- +$-0.34at 0.015Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 08:17 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999558 | $12.90 |
| 10-08 08:17 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.99 |
| 10-07 19:40 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.9619999974 | $12.51 |
| 10-06 07:02 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $12.00 |
| 10-06 07:01 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.40 |
| 10-05 20:54 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.934999993 | $6.00 |
| 10-05 20:03 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.0195 | $0.39 |
| 10-05 19:56 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.9829999982 | $4.85 |
| 10-05 18:58 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.0118446385 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 18:27 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 18:04 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.0094149547 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:46 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $8.95 |
| 10-05 14:46 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 17:30 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.9529999973 | $11.37 |
| 10-03 17:34 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.9209999934 | $10.47 |