PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dearvid

0xf341f026c796a718f9953e88dfb437a502f09bd8

Realised P&L
$695.07
Volume
$46.6k
Markets traded
348
Open portfolio
$206.71

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded348
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4600.455$49.46−$0.54
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4500.445$49.44−$0.56
Spain vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5 · Under0.5300.475$44.81−$5.19
Will England win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.6000.480$40.00−$10.00
Will Scotland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.2200.215$9.77−$0.23
Will Spain vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.115$8.85−$1.15
Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.5400.455$4.21−$0.79
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.3500.001$0.07−$49.93
Finland vs. Belarus: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4400.001$0.06−$49.94
Will Belarus win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.1500.001$0.03−$9.97
Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$50.00
Mikel Merino: 1+ goals · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$10.00
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals · Yes0.1140.000$0.00−$1.00
Spain to score first vs. Argentina? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 11:29Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4599999965$50.00
09-29 11:28Will Scotland win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.2199999974$10.00
09-29 11:28Will Spain vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY0.1299999999$10.00
09-29 11:27Will Belarus win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.1499999993$10.00
09-29 01:23Spain vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5BUY0.529999998$50.00
09-29 01:21Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.3499999997$50.00
09-29 01:18Finland vs. Belarus: O/U 2.5BUY0.4399999986$50.00
09-28 17:56Will France win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.4499999964$50.00
09-28 15:53Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.5399999568$5.00
09-28 15:52Will England win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.5999999976$50.00
09-28 15:51Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4499999964$50.00
09-28 15:50Will France win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.5199999954$50.00
09-28 15:43Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.2799999993$50.00
09-27 18:38Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.4299999991$50.00
07-19 21:43Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.9225639198$187.63