dearvid
0xf341f026c796a718f9953e88dfb437a502f09bd8
- Realised P&L
- $695.07
- Volume
- $46.6k
- Markets traded
- 348
- Open portfolio
- $206.71
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded348
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.455 | $49.46 | −$0.54 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.445 | $49.44 | −$0.56 |
| Spain vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.475 | $44.81 | −$5.19 |
| Will England win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.480 | $40.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.215 | $9.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will Spain vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.115 | $8.85 | −$1.15 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.455 | $4.21 | −$0.79 |
| Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$49.93 |
| Finland vs. Belarus: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.440 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$49.94 |
| Will Belarus win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$9.97 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Mikel Merino: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.114 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spain to score first vs. Argentina? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$436.91at 0.560Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21?
- +$210.57at 0.588Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
- +$158.26at 0.387Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5
- +$143.68at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
- +$137.80at 0.182Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 11:29 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4599999965 | $50.00 |
| 09-29 11:28 | Will Scotland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 11:28 | Will Spain vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 11:27 | Will Belarus win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 01:23 | Spain vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.529999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-29 01:21 | Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-29 01:18 | Finland vs. Belarus: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4399999986 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 17:56 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4499999964 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 15:53 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 15:52 | Will England win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 15:51 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4499999964 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 15:50 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5199999954 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 15:43 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.2799999993 | $50.00 |
| 09-27 18:38 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 21:43 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.9225639198 | $187.63 |