250honor
0xf340983f90bb81e4bef00f6d9d13c5918c065cbe
- Realised P&L
- $-206.66
- Volume
- $35.6k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $415.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 1.000 | $415.94 | +$207.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.46at 0.592Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 17?
- +$0.03at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 4?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 05:16 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of October 19 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $4.67 |
| 10-15 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.58 | $147.15 |
| 08-24 04:46 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.982 | $64.83 |
| 08-24 04:40 | Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $19.82 |
| 08-24 04:32 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.9829999876 | $40.40 |
| 08-24 04:25 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.9829999967 | $24.50 |
| 08-24 04:17 | Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $16.47 |
| 08-24 04:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24? | BUY | 0.9989999632 | $10.60 |
| 08-24 02:58 | Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.33 |
| 08-20 07:07 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $36.53 |
| 08-20 06:58 | Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $47.71 |
| 08-20 06:49 | Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.99 | $9.66 |
| 08-20 00:26 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.994 | $30.17 |
| 08-20 00:18 | Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.99 | $8.51 |
| 08-20 00:12 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.994 | $6.40 |