0xf33f7717eb45c98b56ae5c0d66ef4ddceeca772b
0xf33f7717eb45c98b56ae5c0d66ef4ddceeca772b
- Realised P&L
- $3.12
- Volume
- $190.87
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $0.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Up | 0.380 | 0.335 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Down | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.19at 0.496Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
- +$1.85at 0.537Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
- +$1.74at 0.646Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?
- +$1.37at 0.610Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
- +$0.88at 0.677Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 21:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 21:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 21:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 21:17 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.12 |
| 10-20 21:17 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.37 |
| 10-20 21:16 | Manchester City FC to score first vs. AEK? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.29 |
| 10-20 21:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 21:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 23:58 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 23:57 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 23:56 | Manchester City FC to score first vs. AEK? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 23:55 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.8899999733 | $3.00 |
| 10-19 16:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 03:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 03:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |