xiaoxiao133
0xf33c2f3c2ce520c3bc97d7e0d51bcc3738df488c
- Realised P&L
- $-961.75
- Volume
- $38.3k
- Markets traded
- 720
- Open portfolio
- $29.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded720
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$287.27at 0.417Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 22?
- +$262.47at 0.439Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 16?
- +$256.80at 0.447Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 17?
- +$255.66at 0.259Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 6?
- +$212.73at 0.491Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 18:04 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.48 | $31.38 |
| 09-15 18:01 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.529999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-12 18:01 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C or higher on September 14? | BUY | 0.4099999799 | $2.04 |
| 09-11 18:05 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 09-11 18:05 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.5294705253 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 18:05 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.5399999976 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 18:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $3.00 |
| 09-10 10:30 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.4199999992 | $31.23 |
| 09-10 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.5 | $18.77 |
| 09-10 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.3952631357 | $29.72 |
| 09-10 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 09-10 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.75 |
| 09-10 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.03 |
| 09-10 03:43 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.00 |
| 09-10 03:38 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |