0xf33c2f3c2ce520c3bc97d7e0d51bcc3738df488c
- Realised P&L
- $-775.58
- Volume
- $30.9k
- Markets traded
- 601
- Open portfolio
- $83.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded601
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$293.22at 0.405Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 22?
- +$268.20at 0.427Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 16?
- +$262.52at 0.435Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 17?
- +$261.13at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 6?
- +$217.95at 0.479Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 18:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 18:04 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 18:04 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.46 | $1.30 |
| 08-03 18:04 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 18:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5547245534 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 18:01 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.41 | $1.05 |
| 08-01 18:04 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 18:04 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 18:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 03:27 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 29? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 29? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |