PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Koolio

0xf33030be9f7af03b61a4520fe449c50a4cfcf779

Realised P&L
$5.5k
Volume
$759.6k
Markets traded
149
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded149
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3500.415$3.1k+$487.50
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0180.013$545.07$255.44
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2290.105$70.88$83.95
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0110.007$32.80$13.58
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0700.064$17.40$1.78
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0270.048$5.76+$2.49
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0180.025$5.58+$1.63
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0170.009$1.95$2.01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · No0.5000.000$0.00$1.3k
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? · No0.2970.000$0.00$154.04
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1360.000$0.00$1.5k
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Khamzat Chimaev0.8100.000$0.00$1000.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? · No0.4360.000$0.00$728.61
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · No0.5100.000$0.00$600.00
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · Yes0.4560.000$0.00$829.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-07 16:46US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?BUY0.41$52.07
06-07 16:45US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.5099999997$600.00
06-06 03:36US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?BUY0.8$1.2k
06-03 17:22US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5$1.3k
06-03 17:13US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?BUY0.44$440.00
06-03 17:10US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?BUY0.43$288.61
06-03 17:09US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?BUY0.26$101.97
05-10 13:51Iran closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.7099999996$1.1k
05-10 01:09UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.81$1000.00
05-05 20:09Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?BUY0.974199025$1.7k
05-04 15:46Iran closes its airspace by May 8?BUY0.7399999995$1.2k
05-03 19:25Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?SELL0.0575785185$52.01
05-03 19:25Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?SELL0.04$9.01
05-03 01:15Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$12.50
05-03 01:13Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?BUY0.18$13.68