Koolio
0xf33030be9f7af03b61a4520fe449c50a4cfcf779
- Realised P&L
- $4.7k
- Volume
- $767.0k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.3kat 0.213Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
- +$9.2kat 0.309Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
- +$4.7kat 0.267Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?
- +$4.3kat 0.808Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
- +$3.2kat 0.605Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 03:34 | Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | BUY | 0.9895433752 | $1000.00 |
| 10-25 00:53 | Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | BUY | 0.9 | $81.00 |
| 10-25 00:52 | Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | BUY | 0.9 | $765.00 |
| 10-20 06:13 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 10-20 05:18 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 10-19 17:28 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? | BUY | 0.26 | $15.60 |
| 10-14 20:38 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 06-07 16:46 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | BUY | 0.41 | $52.07 |
| 06-07 16:45 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999997 | $600.00 |
| 06-06 03:36 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.2k |
| 06-03 17:22 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.3k |
| 06-03 17:13 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY | 0.44 | $440.00 |
| 06-03 17:10 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY | 0.43 | $288.61 |
| 06-03 17:09 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $101.97 |
| 05-10 13:51 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.7099999996 | $1.1k |