0x52DfEaDCDc0e45dB5C72fA4E068B6e4F401F2db4-1767871454453
0xf32fedbe0f281d37442b8aa3a156170b3ffb789b
- Realised P&L
- $-176.09
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $14.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? · Yes | 0.406 | 0.445 | $14.23 | +$1.23 |
| Starmer out by June 26, 2026? · No | 0.609 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.00 |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026? · No | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.236 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.90at 0.597Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
- +$-0.07at 0.009Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 23:43 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999376 | $3.00 |
| 06-20 23:38 | Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2356344732 | $30.00 |
| 06-20 23:38 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999921 | $20.00 |
| 06-20 13:27 | Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | BUY | 0.4043392378 | $8.00 |
| 06-20 12:49 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | SELL | 0.888 | $7.57 |
| 06-20 12:42 | Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0689999387 | $1.00 |
| 06-20 12:42 | Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.00 |
| 06-20 12:14 | Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 11:51 | Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0689342999 | $20.00 |
| 06-20 11:37 | Starmer out by June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999986 | $40.00 |
| 06-20 09:36 | Starmer out by June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 06-20 09:31 | Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.008955215 | $1.00 |
| 06-20 09:30 | Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 09:27 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | SELL | 0.888 | $7.56 |
| 06-17 02:07 | Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |