0xDxdd
0xf32c69b898f039255b95cca3f72be6614df6cc9a
- Realised P&L
- $64.25
- Volume
- $59.6k
- Markets traded
- 635
- Open portfolio
- $17.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded635
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$156.18at 0.390Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 12?
- +$152.29at 0.229Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 1?
- +$129.41at 0.299Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 20?
- +$126.62at 0.036Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 27?
- +$125.03at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3099999907 | $15.00 |
| 08-04 14:22 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.036 | $0.92 |
| 08-04 14:22 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.2538943117 | $7.54 |
| 08-04 13:56 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2146340809 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 13:35 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 13:20 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1170491463 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 13:19 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.6130972909 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.2589832585 | $6.34 |
| 08-04 12:03 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2041173082 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.96 |
| 08-04 11:14 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1071428571 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.080635407 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.71 |
| 08-02 13:26 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.44 | $7.45 |
| 08-02 13:17 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.2156862424 | $5.00 |