LuckyHT2
0xf32af9ada719e95a2289304885148fb91b199ec3
- Realised P&L
- $233.72
- Volume
- $25.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,345
- Open portfolio
- $317.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,345
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.669 | $104.58 | +$98.88 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.660 | $79.20 | +$73.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.759 | $71.64 | +$55.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20? · No | 0.110 | 0.650 | $32.50 | +$27.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.384 | 0.801 | $20.02 | +$10.43 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 20? · No | 0.573 | 0.995 | $9.95 | +$4.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$154.95at 0.089Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 26°C on September 16?
- +$5.76at 0.808Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 4?
- +$2.93at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 20?
- +$1.91at 0.808Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 25?
- +$1.69at 0.003Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 08:32 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.2031903303 | $5.97 |
| 09-20 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 09-20 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.0061525475 | $1.21 |
| 09-20 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.384 | $9.60 |
| 09-20 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.43 |
| 09-20 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.15 |
| 09-20 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.0052102091 | $1.42 |
| 09-20 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.595 | $8.92 |
| 09-20 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.35 |
| 09-20 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.18 |
| 09-20 07:54 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.051 | $2.75 |
| 09-20 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.124795053 | $7.06 |
| 09-20 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.063 | $2.28 |
| 09-20 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1511363636 | $2.36 |
| 09-20 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.094 | $2.93 |