santaya
0xf328ff8e1caed3791ae28bc99997317e06485353
- Realised P&L
- $324.91
- Volume
- $95.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,422
- Open portfolio
- $554.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,422
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $249.88 | +$0.13 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 6? · No | 0.998 | 0.996 | $49.80 | −$0.10 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 6? · No | 0.997 | 0.996 | $49.80 | −$0.05 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $45.95 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $39.98 | +$0.02 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $90 on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $39.98 | +$0.02 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 6? · No | 0.997 | 0.999 | $39.96 | +$0.08 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 6? · No | 0.982 | 0.982 | $19.69 | −$0.02 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 6? · No | 0.996 | 0.992 | $9.92 | −$0.04 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6? · No | 0.939 | 0.965 | $9.64 | +$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.36at 0.897Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?
- +$11.20at 0.888Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 5?
- +$7.20at 0.928Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on March 6?
- +$4.42at 0.975Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?
- +$3.15at 0.979Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 17:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.939 | $9.38 |
| 08-05 17:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 08-05 17:26 | Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 6? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 08-05 17:25 | Will the price of Solana be above $90 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 08-05 17:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.981 | $9.87 |
| 08-05 17:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 6? | BUY | 0.997 | $39.88 |
| 08-05 17:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 08-05 17:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 08-05 17:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $45.95 |
| 08-05 17:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.997 | $49.85 |
| 08-05 17:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 08-04 16:42 | Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-04 16:41 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.94 |
| 08-04 16:41 | Will the price of Solana be above $90 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 08-04 16:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 5? | BUY | 0.995 | $44.77 |