okngbh
0xf32441cb4d41bd61efd26a6567ee41651910772d
- Realised P&L
- $-5.57
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $12.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat? · Yes | 0.969 | 0.982 | $12.75 | +$0.17 |
| Hurricanes vs. Avalanche · Avalanche | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.45at 0.929Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
- +$0.22at 0.962Will Solana dip to $185 in September?
- +$0.08at 0.977Will X buy TikTok?
- +$0.02at 0.982Will the AFD be part of the next German government?
- +$0.02at 0.985Will the Greens be part of the next German government?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 10:27 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat? | BUY | 0.9689999985 | $12.58 |
| 10-23 14:22 | Hurricanes vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.5599998963 | $1.08 |
| 09-21 15:07 | Will Solana dip to $185 in September? | BUY | 0.9619999965 | $5.55 |
| 06-11 12:11 | Will X buy TikTok? | SELL | 0.992 | $5.57 |
| 05-27 09:59 | Will X buy TikTok? | BUY | 0.9769999187 | $5.49 |
| 04-27 05:07 | Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.9289999992 | $5.86 |
| 03-31 09:23 | Will the AFD be part of the next German government? | BUY | 0.9819999884 | $1.36 |
| 03-31 09:23 | Will the Greens be part of the next German government? | BUY | 0.9849996139 | $1.25 |
| 02-24 16:50 | Will LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in Assists? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.42 |
| 02-24 16:50 | Will Immanuel Quickley lead the NBA in Assists? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.12 |
| 02-24 16:50 | Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in Assists? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.03 |
| 02-23 16:13 | Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.5k |
| 02-23 16:11 | Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.5k |
| 02-23 16:10 | Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | BUY | 0.9969999992 | $1.18 |