tinshemet
0xf3228495874df1517518439266637bced264cec4
- Realised P&L
- $-50.93
- Volume
- $93.52
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $49.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-54.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? · No | 0.490 | 0.480 | $24.00 | −$0.50 |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.445 | $22.25 | −$0.25 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat? · No | 0.045 | 0.035 | $2.13 | −$0.57 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NV-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.040 | $0.97 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-50.93at 0.545Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 10:49 | Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 11-01 10:47 | Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.49 | $24.50 |
| 10-31 18:20 | Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.045 | $1.35 |
| 10-30 20:26 | Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.045 | $1.35 |
| 10-30 20:04 | Will the Republican Party win the NV-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.046 | $0.82 |
| 06-27 20:16 | Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03? | BUY | 0.5346534633 | $50.00 |