OOdss
0xf31a3791e67573f48872b4b7c95adab3cd186347
- Realised P&L
- $-52.71
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $11.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.302 | 0.252 | $4.68 | −$0.93 |
| Will Rosalind Eleazar be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.165 | $3.30 | −$0.90 |
| Amphenol (APH) Q3 organic sales growth <24%? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.245 | $1.61 | +$0.03 |
| Will Jayden Maiava be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.075 | $1.50 | −$2.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.40at 0.460Will London have less than 35mm of precipitation in October?
- +$0.60at 0.240Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 20%-25%?
- +$0.60at 0.140Will "Minions & Monsters" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$0.46at 0.695Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?
- +$0.43at 0.260Will Édouard Philippe win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 15:44 | Will Paper Rex keep both f0rsakeN and Jinggg for 2027? | SELL | 0.55 | $0.55 |
| 10-14 15:44 | Will SB Energy not IPO before January 2027? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.19 |
| 10-12 12:05 | Will Marvin Harrison Jr.'s next team be the Houston Texans? | SELL | 0.985 | $2.17 |
| 10-12 12:05 | Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in October 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.51 |