lopwiggle
0xf31215c8c51c0edee8c822c00e71d66a6db9001f
- Realised P&L
- $-65.69
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $31.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes | 0.189 | 0.117 | $31.11 | −$18.89 |
| XRP Up or Down - March 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET · Up | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET · Up | 0.609 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| XRP Up or Down - April 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Up | 0.096 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.65 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov vs. Anish Giri end in a draw? · No | 0.376 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET · Down | 0.548 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.177 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Down | 0.254 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - March 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET · Down | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.05at 0.598Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
- +$1.80at 0.181Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
- +$1.80at 0.485Solana Up or Down - March 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
- +$1.64at 0.364Solana Up or Down - March 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
- +$1.38at 0.696Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 15:33 | Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.188866421 | $50.00 |
| 05-30 17:53 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 17:09 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.26 | $10.00 |
| 05-30 16:42 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 04-05 17:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | SELL | 0.94 | $5.40 |
| 04-05 17:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $3.82 |
| 04-05 17:03 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | SELL | 0.91 | $6.08 |
| 04-05 17:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.58 | $3.76 |
| 04-05 16:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $1.49 |
| 04-05 16:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $0.95 |
| 04-05 16:53 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | SELL | 0.87 | $1.38 |
| 04-05 16:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $0.94 |
| 04-05 16:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $1.34 |
| 04-05 16:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $1.85 |
| 04-05 16:46 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | SELL | 0.92 | $2.80 |