Emmiefg
0xf3080f1b4173f99bfa4fa206cf62768381ee2be5
- Realised P&L
- $-94.85
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $49.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-5.5) · Bills | 0.500 | 1.000 | $27.00 | +$13.50 |
| Will Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg end in a draw? · No | 0.700 | 0.695 | $22.93 | −$0.17 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics · Athletics | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.38 |
| Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parry · Anhelina Kalinina | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.85 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · Anyone's Legend | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.65 |
| Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? · No | 0.421 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.42 |
| Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.447 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.43 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-08? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.72 |
| Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-22? · No | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.95 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$309.69at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
- +$305.04at 0.500Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$295.76at 0.500Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$102.09at 0.500Will Cho Kuk win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?
- +$99.00at 0.500Will KrF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 03:18 | Will Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7 | $23.10 |
| 09-17 08:39 | Spread: Bills (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $13.50 |
| 09-08 03:00 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.71 | $22.72 |
| 08-21 03:50 | Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.73 | $10.95 |
| 08-06 07:34 | LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY | 0.72 | $27.65 |
| 07-16 03:06 | Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.421 | $8.42 |
| 07-02 02:14 | Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.08 |
| 07-02 02:13 | Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4475 | $24.43 |
| 07-02 02:11 | Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $37.89 |
| 06-23 07:22 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.42 | $11.97 |
| 05-28 03:11 | Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-31? | BUY | 0.69 | $24.56 |
| 05-26 09:39 | Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.998 | $23.97 |
| 05-26 09:39 | Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parry | BUY | 0.7 | $24.85 |
| 05-26 09:36 | Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.00 |
| 05-14 08:24 | UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.52 | $10.92 |