p3pt0b1sm0l
0xf307db5d395c7c2b16ed1dc815f84e2b9bbc760b
- Realised P&L
- $-160.50
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $22.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.78at 0.290Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
- +$4.34at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
- +$3.23at 0.366XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
- +$1.52at 0.356Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
- +$0.86at 0.792Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-27 18:03 | Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.6493145631 | $70.00 |
| 05-15 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 15? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.89 |
| 05-15 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 15? | BUY | 0.0886968928 | $2.80 |
| 05-15 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 15? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 05-15 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 15? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.61 |
| 05-15 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 15? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 05-15 03:03 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 15? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.31 |
| 05-15 03:03 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 15? | BUY | 0.0653333333 | $2.94 |
| 05-15 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on May 15? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 05-15 00:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $1.47 |
| 05-15 00:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 00:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | SELL | 0.4 | $2.90 |
| 05-15 00:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 00:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 00:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | SELL | 0.9195389049 | $9.57 |