855rgbek
0xf3074f866ea63961ed06e48d698763cfb91100b7
- Realised P&L
- $-20.50
- Volume
- $24.9k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $17.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houthi military action against Mecca by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.960 | $7.15 | +$0.15 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.945 | $5.31 | +$0.31 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.961 | $5.11 | +$0.11 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6AM ET · Down | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? · No | 0.957 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.43at 0.673Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
- +$1.96at 0.837Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?
- +$1.72at 0.779Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
- +$1.70at 0.639Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
- +$1.64at 0.810Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 15:46 | Houthi military action against Mecca by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.00 |
| 09-21 15:45 | Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 15:44 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 15:42 | Will Solana reach $150 in September? | BUY | 0.9585053451 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 10:24 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 10:24 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 10:24 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $12.00 |
| 07-28 10:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.9595202399 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 01:23 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9479999978 | $12.00 |
| 07-13 01:23 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.975 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 01:22 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999665 | $11.00 |
| 07-13 01:21 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY | 0.9564149365 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 02:58 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999993 | $14.00 |
| 06-22 02:58 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $13.00 |
| 06-06 07:00 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $8.00 |