PolyBot

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Traders

855rgbek

0xf3074f866ea63961ed06e48d698763cfb91100b7

Realised P&L
$-20.50
Volume
$24.9k
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$17.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Houthi military action against Mecca by October 31, 2026? · No0.9400.960$7.15+$0.15
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.8900.945$5.31+$0.31
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.9400.961$5.11+$0.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6AM ET · Down0.5200.000$0.00−$2.00
Trump renames AI by September 30? · No0.9500.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? · No0.8600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$7.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.9400.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00−$4.00
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? · No0.9570.000$0.00−$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 15:46Houthi military action against Mecca by October 31, 2026?BUY0.94$7.00
09-21 15:45Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?BUY0.8899999947$10.00
09-21 15:44Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.95$20.00
09-21 15:42Will Solana reach $150 in September?BUY0.9585053451$10.00
07-28 10:24Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?BUY0.9399999981$10.00
07-28 10:24Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?BUY0.8299999967$10.00
07-28 10:24Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.98$12.00
07-28 10:23Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.9595202399$10.00
07-13 01:23Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?BUY0.9479999978$12.00
07-13 01:23Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?BUY0.975$10.00
07-13 01:22US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?BUY0.9199999665$11.00
07-13 01:21Israel closes its airspace by July 15?BUY0.9564149365$10.00
06-22 02:58Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?BUY0.9099999993$14.00
06-22 02:58Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?BUY0.92$13.00
06-06 07:00Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?BUY0.9$8.00