gregory701
0xf2f7d88a3dbfc383b938dfda380afd8d1a0057ad
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $21.9k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $106.31
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar16.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? · No | 0.971 | 0.964 | $57.16 | −$0.41 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-16 House seat? · Yes | 0.944 | 0.985 | $30.10 | +$1.24 |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No | 0.978 | 0.953 | $19.06 | −$0.50 |
| Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? · No | 0.952 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.480Phillies vs. Mets
- +$920.00at 0.540Orioles vs. White Sox
- +$690.00at 0.540Lightning vs. Red Wings
- +$630.00at 0.370Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)
- +$610.00at 0.390Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 11:56 | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $64.61 |
| 04-17 13:21 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.916 | $18.32 |
| 03-23 08:16 | Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.978 | $19.56 |
| 03-17 13:04 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.981 | $4.91 |
| 03-17 13:03 | Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.964 | $19.28 |
| 12-26 13:23 | Dota 2: AVULUS vs Spirit Academy (BO3) | BUY | 0.22 | $66.00 |
| 12-25 11:00 | KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Amur Khabarovsk | BUY | 0.37 | $222.00 |
| 12-22 10:14 | Canucks vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.44 | $220.00 |
| 12-11 10:36 | Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3) | BUY | 0.69 | $690.00 |
| 12-09 12:04 | India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1) | BUY | 0.69 | $404.34 |
| 12-08 11:08 | Wild vs. Kraken | BUY | 0.55 | $385.00 |
| 12-05 11:02 | Samford Bulldogs vs. VCU Rams | BUY | 0.93 | $279.00 |
| 12-03 13:08 | Stars vs. Devils | BUY | 0.51 | $690.90 |
| 12-02 12:41 | Valorant: DRX vs SLT (BO3) | BUY | 0.72 | $72.00 |
| 12-01 13:29 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) | BUY | 0.37 | $370.00 |