n00bsterAT
0xf2f583820455edee90290b8bde8e835b98f2b306
- Realised P&L
- $160.50
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 177
- Open portfolio
- $5.78
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded177
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.785 | $1.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.785 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will LASK Linz win on 2026-11-03? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.685 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.605 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.395 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.02at 0.411Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$43.65at 0.759Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$42.28at 0.715Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$39.21at 0.639Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$34.37at 0.771Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 09:55 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 09:55 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 09:55 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 09:54 | Will LASK Linz win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 09:54 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 09:54 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 14:46 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 14:45 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 14:45 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 14:44 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.62 | $0.98 |
| 10-20 14:44 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 14:43 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 19:22 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 19:19 | Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 19:18 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |